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June 19, 2023

Darktrace Detection of 3CX Supply Chain Attack

Explore how the 3CX supply chain compromise was uncovered, revealing key insights into the detection of sophisticated cyber threats.
Inside the SOC
Darktrace cyber analysts are world-class experts in threat intelligence, threat hunting and incident response, and provide 24/7 SOC support to thousands of Darktrace customers around the globe. Inside the SOC is exclusively authored by these experts, providing analysis of cyber incidents and threat trends, based on real-world experience in the field.
Written by
Nahisha Nobregas
SOC Analyst
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19
Jun 2023

Ever since the discovery of the SolarWinds hack that affected tens of thousands of organizations around the world in 2020, supply chain compromises have remained at the forefront of the minds of security teams and continue to pose a significant threat to their business operations. 

Supply chain compromises can have far-reaching implications, from disrupting an organization’s daily operations, incurring huge financial and reputational damage, to affecting the critical infrastructure of entire countries. As such, it is essential for organizations to have effective security measures in place able to identify and halt these attacks at the earliest possible stage.

In March 2023 the 3CX Desktop application became the latest victim of a supply chain compromise dubbed as the “SmoothOperator” by SentinelOne. This application is used by over 600,000 companies worldwide and the customer list contains high-profile customers across a variety of industries [2]. The 3CX Desktop application is a Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) communication software for enterprises that allows for chats, video calls, and voice calls. [3] The 3CX installers for both Windows and macOS systems were affected by information stealing malware. Researchers were able to discern that threat actors also known as UNC 4736 related to financially motivated North Korean operators also known as AppleJeus were responsible for the supply chain compromise.  Researchers have also linked it to another supply chain compromise that occurred prior on the Trading Technologies X_TRADER platform, making this the first known cascading software supply chain compromise used to distribute malware on a wide scale and still be able to align operator interests. [3] Customer reports following the compromise began to surface about the 3CX software being picked up as malicious by several cybersecurity vendors such as CrowdStrike, SentinelOne, and Palo Alto Networks. [6] 

By leveraging integrations with other security vendors like CrowdStrike and SentinelOne, Darktrace DETECT™ was able to identify activity from the “SmoothOperator” across the customer base at multiple stages of the kill chain in March 2023. Darktrace RESPOND™ was then able to autonomously intervene against these emerging threats, preventing significant disruption to customer networks. 

Background on the first known cascading supply chain attack 

Initial Access

In April 2023, security researchers identified the initial target in this story was not the 3CX desktop application, rather, it was another software application called X_TRADER by Trading Technologies. [3] Trading Technologies is a provider that offers high-performance financial trading packages, allowing financial professionals to analyze and trade assets within the stock market more efficiently. Unfortunately, a compromise already existed in the supply chain for this organization. The X_TRADER installer, which had been retired in 2020, still had its code signing certificate set to expire in October 2022. This code signing certificate was exploited by attackers to digitally sign the malicious software. [3] It also inopportunely led to 3CX when an employee unknowingly downloaded a trojanized installer for the X_TRADER software from Trading Technologies prior to the certificate’s expiration. [4]. This compromise of 3CX via X_TRADER was the first case of a cascading supply chain attack reported on within the wider threat landscape. 

Persistence and Privilege Escalation 

Following these findings, researchers were able to identify the likely kill chain that occurred on Windows systems, beginning with the download of the 3CX DesktopApp installer that executed an executable (.exe) file before dropping two trojanized Data Link Libraries (DLLs) alongside a benign executable that was used to sideload malicious DLLs. These DLLs contained and used SIGFLIP and DAVESHELL; both publicly available projects. [3] In this case, the DLLs were used to decrypt using an RC4 key and load a payload into the memory of a compromised system. [3] SIGFLIP and DAVESHELL also extract and decrypt the modular backdoor named VEILEDSIGNAL, which also contains a command and control (C2) configuration. This malware allowed the North Korean threat operators to gain administrative control to the 3CX employee’s device. [3] This was followed by access to the employee’s corporate credentials, ultimately leading to access to 3CX systems. [4] 

Lateral Movement and C2 activity

Security researchers were also able to identify other malware families that were mainly utilized in the supply chain attack to move laterally within the 3CX environment, and allow for C2 communication [3], these malware families are detailed below:

  • TaxHaul: when executed it decrypts shellcode payload, observed by Mandiant to persist via DLL search-order hijacking.
  • Coldcat: complex downloader, which also beacons to a C2 infrastructure.
  • PoolRat: collects system information and executes commands. This is the malware that was found to affect macOS systems.
  • IconicStealer: served as a third stage payload on 3CX systems to steal data or information.

Furthermore, it was also reported early on by Kaspersky that a backdoor named Gopuram, routinely used by the North Korean threat actors Lazarus and typically used against cryptocurrency companies, was also used as a second stage payload on a limited number of 3CX’s customers compromised systems. [5]

3CX detections observed by Darktrace

CrowdStrike and SentinelOne, two of the major detection platforms with which Darktrace partners through security integrations, initially revealed that their platforms had identified the campaign appeared to be targeting 3CXDesktopApp customers in March 2023. 

At this time, Darktrace was also observing this activity and alerting customers to unusual behavior on their networks. [1][7] Darktrace DETECT identified activity related to the supply chain compromise primarily through host-level alerts associated with CrowdStrike and SentinelOne integrations, as well as model breaches related to lateral movement and C2 activity. 

Some of the activity related to the 3CX supply chain compromise that Darktrace detected was observed solely via integration models picking up executable and Microsoft Software Installer (msi) file downloads for the 3CXDesktopApp, suggesting the compromise likely was stopped at the endpoint device. 

CrowdStrike integration model breach identifying 3CXDesktopApp[.]exe as possible malware
Figure 1: CrowdStrike integration model breach identifying 3CXDesktopApp[.]exe as possible malware on March 30, 2023.
showcases the Model Breach Event Log for the CrowdStrike integration model breach
Figure 2: The above figure, showcases the Model Breach Event Log for the CrowdStrike integration model breach shown in Figure 1.

In another case highlighted in Figure 3 and 4, security platforms were associating 3CX as malicious. The device in these figures was observed downloading a 3CXDesktopApp executable followed by an msi file about an hour later. This pattern of activity correlates with the compromise process that had been on reported, where the “SmoothOperator” malware that affected 3CX systems was able to persist through DLL side-loading of malicious DLL files delivered with benign executable files, making it difficult for traditional security tools to detect. [2][3][7]

The activity in this case was detected by the DETECT integration model, ‘High Severity Integration Malware Detection’ and was later blocked by the Darktrace RESPOND/Network model, ‘Antigena Significant Anomaly from Client Block’ which applied the “Enforce Pattern of Life” action to intercept the malicious download that was taking place. Darktrace RESPOND uses AI to learn every devices normal pattern of life and act autonomously to enforce its normal activity. In this event, RESPOND would not only intercept the malicious download that was taking place on the device, but also not allow the device to significantly deviate from its normal pattern of activity.

The Model Breach Event log for the device displays the moment in which the SentinelOne integration model breached for the 3CXDesktopApp.exe file
Figure 3: The Model Breach Event log for the device displays the moment in which the SentinelOne integration model breached for the 3CXDesktopApp.exe file followed subsequently by the RESPOND model, ‘Antigena Significant Anomaly from Client Block’, on March 29, 2023.
Another ‘High Severity Integration Malware Detection’ breached
Figure 4: Another ‘High Severity Integration Malware Detection’ breached for the same device in Figure 3 approximately one hour later because of the msi file, 3CXDesktopApp-18.12.416.msi, which also led to the Darktrace RESPOND model, ‘Antigena Significant Anomaly from Client Block’, on March 29, 2023.

In a separate case, Darktrace also detected a device performing unusual SMB drive writes for the file ‘3CXDesktopApp-18.10.461.msi’. This breached the DETECT model ‘SMB Drive Write’. This model detects when a device starts writing files to another internal device it does not usually communicate with via the SMB protocol using the admin$ or drive shares.

This Model Breach Event log highlights the moment Darktrace captured the msi application file for the 3CXDesktopApp being transferred internally on this customer’s network
Figure 5: This Model Breach Event log highlights the moment Darktrace captured the msi application file for the 3CXDesktopApp being transferred internally on this customer’s network, this was picked up as new activity for the device on March 28, 2023. 

In a couple of other cases observed by Darktrace, connections detected were made from affected devices to 3CX compromise related endpoints. In Figure 6, the device in question was detected connecting to the endpoint, journalide[.]org. This breached the model, ‘Suspicious Self-Signed SSL’, which looks for connections being made to an endpoint with a self-signed SSL certificate which is designed to look legitimate, as self-signed certificates are often used in malware communication.

Model Breach Event log for connections to the 3CX C2 related endpoint
Figure 6: Model Breach Event log for connections to the 3CX C2 related endpoint, journalide[.]org, these connections breached the model Suspicious Self-Signed SSL on April 24, 2023.

On another Darktrace customer environment, a 3CX C2 endpoint, pbxphonenetwork[.]com, had already been added to the Watched Domains list around the time reports of the 3CX application software being malicious had been reported. The Watched Domains list allows Darktrace to detect if any device on the network makes connections to these domains with more scrutiny and breach a model for further visibility of threats on the network. Activity in this case was detected and subsequently blocked by a Darktrace RESPOND action, “Block connections to 89.45.67[.]160 port 443 and pbxphonenetwork[.]com on port 443”, blocking the device from connecting to this 3CX C2 endpoints on the spot (see Figure 7). This activity subsequently breached the RESPOND model, ‘Antigena Watched Domain Block’. 

Figure 7: History log of the Darktrace RESPOND action applied to the device breaching the Darktrace RESPOND model, Antigena Watched Domain Block and applying the action, “Block connections to 89.45.67[.]160 port 443 and pbxphonenetwork[.]com on port 443” on March 31, 2023.

Darktrace Coverage 

Utilizing integrations with Darktrace such as those with CrowdStrike and SentinelOne, Darktrace was able to detect and respond to activity identified as malicious 3CX activity by CrowdStrike and SentinelOne as seen in Figures 1, 2, 3, and 4. This activity breached the following Darktrace DETECT models: 

  • Integration / CrowdStrike Alert
  • Security Integration / High Severity Integration Malware Detection

Darktrace was also able to identify lateral movement activity such as in the case illustrated in Figure 5.

  • Compliance / SMB Drive Write

Lastly, C2 beaconing activity from malicious endpoints associated with the 3CX compromise was also detected as seen in Figure 6, this activity breached the following Darktrace DETECT model:

  • Anomalous Connection / Suspicious Self-Signed SSL

For customers with Darktrace RESPOND configured in autonomous response mode, Darktrace RESPOND models also breached to activity related to the 3CX supply chain compromise as seen in Figures 3, 4, and 7. Below are the models that breached and the following autonomous actions that were applied:

  • Antigena / Network / Significant Anomaly / Antigena Significant Anomaly from Client Block, “Enforce pattern of life”
  • Antigena / Network / External Threat / Antigena Watched Domain Block, “Block connections to 89.45.67[.]160 port 443 and pbxphonenetwork[.]com on port 443”

Conclusion 

The first known cascading supply chain compromise occurred inopportunely for 3CX but conveniently for UNC 4736 North Korean threat actors. This “SmoothOperator” compromise was detected by endpoint security platforms such as CrowdStrike who was at the cusp of this discovery when it became one of the first platforms to report on malicious activity related to the 3CX DesktopApp supply chain compromise.  

Although still novel at the time and largely without reported indicators of compromise, Darktrace was able to capture and identify activity related to the 3CX compromise across its customer base, as well as respond autonomously to contain it. Darktrace was able to amplify security integrations with CrowdStrike and SentinelOne, and via anomaly-based model breaches, contribute unique insights by highlighting activity in varied parts of the 3CX supply chain compromise kill chain. The “SmoothOperator” supply chain attack proves that the Darktrace suite of products, including DETECT and RESPOND, can not only act autonomously to identify and respond to novel threats, but also work with security integrations to further amplify intervention and prevent cyber disruption on customer networks. 

Credit to Nahisha Nobregas, SOC Analyst and Trent Kessler, SOC Analyst.

Appendices

MITRE ATT&CK Framework

Resource Development

  • T1588 Obtain Capabilities  
  • T1588.004 Digital Certificates
  • T1608 Stage Capabilities  
  • T1608.003 Install Digital Certificate

Initial Access

  • T1190 Exploit Public-Facing Application
  • T1195 Supply Chain Compromise  
  • T1195.002 Compromise Software Supply Chain

Persistence

  • T1574 Hijack Execution Flow
  • T1574.002 DLL Side-Loading

Privilege Escalation

  • T1055 Process Injection
  • T1574 Hijack Execution Flow  
  • T1574.002 DLL Side-Loading

Command and Control

  • T1071 Application Layer Protocol
  • T1071.001 Web Protocols
  • T1071.004 DNS  
  • T1105 Ingress Tool Transfer
  • T1573 Encrypted Channel

List of IOCs

C2 Hostnames

  • journalide[.]org
  • pbxphonenetwork[.]com

Likely C2 IP address

  • 89.45.67[.]160

References

  1. https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/crowdstrike-detects-and-prevents-active-intrusion-campaign-targeting-3cxdesktopapp-customers/
  2. https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/3cx-confirms-north-korean-hackers-behind-supply-chain-attack/
  3. https://www.mandiant.com/resources/blog/3cx-software-supply-chain-compromise
  4. https://www.securityweek.com/cascading-supply-chain-attack-3cx-hacked-after-employee-downloaded-trojanized-app/
  5. https://securelist.com/gopuram-backdoor-deployed-through-3cx-supply-chain-attack/109344/
  6. https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/3cx-hack-caused-by-trading-software-supply-chain-attack/
  7. https://www.sentinelone.com/blog/smoothoperator-ongoing-campaign-trojanizes-3cx-software-in-software-supply-chain-attack/
Inside the SOC
Darktrace cyber analysts are world-class experts in threat intelligence, threat hunting and incident response, and provide 24/7 SOC support to thousands of Darktrace customers around the globe. Inside the SOC is exclusively authored by these experts, providing analysis of cyber incidents and threat trends, based on real-world experience in the field.
Written by
Nahisha Nobregas
SOC Analyst

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December 23, 2025

How to Secure AI in the Enterprise: A Practical Framework for Models, Data, and Agents

How to secure AI in the enterprise: A practical framework for models, data, and agents Default blog imageDefault blog image

Introduction: Why securing AI is now a security priority

AI adoption is at the forefront of the digital movement in businesses, outpacing the rate at which IT and security professionals can set up governance models and security parameters. Adopting Generative AI chatbots, autonomous agents, and AI-enabled SaaS tools promises efficiency and speed but also introduces new forms of risk that traditional security controls were never designed to manage. For many organizations, the first challenge is not whether AI should be secured, but what “securing AI” actually means in practice. Is it about protecting models? Governing data? Monitoring outputs? Or controlling how AI agents behave once deployed?  

While demand for adoption increases, securing AI use in the enterprise is still an abstract concept to many and operationalizing its use goes far beyond just having visibility. Practitioners need to also consider how AI is sourced, built, deployed, used, and governed across the enterprise.

The goal for security teams: Implement a clear, lifecycle-based AI security framework. This blog will demonstrate the variety of AI use cases that should be considered when developing this framework and how to frame this conversation to non-technical audiences.  

What does “securing AI” actually mean?

Securing AI is often framed as an extension of existing security disciplines. In practice, this assumption can cause confusion.

Traditional security functions are built around relatively stable boundaries. Application security focuses on code and logic. Cloud security governs infrastructure and identity. Data security protects sensitive information at rest and in motion. Identity security controls who can access systems and services. Each function has clear ownership, established tooling, and well-understood failure modes.

AI does not fit neatly into any of these categories. An AI system is simultaneously:

  • An application that executes logic
  • A data processor that ingests and generates sensitive information
  • A decision-making layer that influences or automates actions
  • A dynamic system that changes behavior over time

As a result, the security risks introduced by AI cuts across multiple domains at once. A single AI interaction can involve identity misuse, data exposure, application logic abuse, and supply chain risk all within the same workflow. This is where the traditional lines between security functions begin to blur.

For example, a malicious prompt submitted by an authorized user is not a classic identity breach, yet it can trigger data leakage or unauthorized actions. An AI agent calling an external service may appear as legitimate application behavior, even as it violates data sovereignty or compliance requirements. AI-generated code may pass standard development checks while introducing subtle vulnerabilities or compromised dependencies.

In each case, no single security team “owns” the risk outright.

This is why securing AI cannot be reduced to model safety, governance policies, or perimeter controls alone. It requires a shared security lens that spans development, operations, data handling, and user interaction. Securing AI means understanding not just whether systems are accessed securely, but whether they are being used, trained, and allowed to act in ways that align with business intent and risk tolerance.

At its core, securing AI is about restoring clarity in environments where accountability can quickly blur. It is about knowing where AI exists, how it behaves, what it is allowed to do, and how its decisions affect the wider enterprise. Without this clarity, AI becomes a force multiplier for both productivity and risk.

The five categories of AI risk in the enterprise

A practical way to approach AI security is to organize risk around how AI is used and where it operates. The framework below defines five categories of AI risk, each aligned to a distinct layer of the enterprise AI ecosystem  

How to Secure AI in the Enterprise:

  • Defending against misuse and emergent behaviors
  • Monitoring and controlling AI in operation
  • Protecting AI development and infrastructure
  • Securing the AI supply chain
  • Strengthening readiness and oversight

Together, these categories provide a structured lens for understanding how AI risk manifests and where security teams should focus their efforts.

1. Defending against misuse and emergent AI behaviors

Generative AI systems and agents can be manipulated in ways that bypass traditional controls. Even when access is authorized, AI can be misused, repurposed, or influenced through carefully crafted prompts and interactions.

Key risks include:

  • Malicious prompt injection designed to coerce unwanted actions
  • Unauthorized or unintended use cases that bypass guardrails
  • Exposure of sensitive data through prompt histories
  • Hallucinated or malicious outputs that influence human behavior

Unlike traditional applications, AI systems can produce harmful outcomes without being explicitly compromised. Securing this layer requires monitoring intent, not just access. Security teams need visibility into how AI systems are being prompted, how outputs are consumed, and whether usage aligns with approved business purposes

2. Monitoring and controlling AI in operation

Once deployed, AI agents operate at machine speed and scale. They can initiate actions, exchange data, and interact with other systems with little human oversight. This makes runtime visibility critical.

Operational AI risks include:

  • Agents using permissions in unintended ways
  • Uncontrolled outbound connections to external services or agents
  • Loss of forensic visibility into ephemeral AI components
  • Non-compliant data transmission across jurisdictions

Securing AI in operation requires real-time monitoring of agent behavior, centralized control points such as AI gateways, and the ability to capture agent state for investigation. Without these capabilities, security teams may be blind to how AI systems behave once live, particularly in cloud-native or regulated environments.

3. Protecting AI development and infrastructure

Many AI risks are introduced long before deployment. Development pipelines, infrastructure configurations, and architectural decisions all influence the security posture of AI systems.

Common risks include:

  • Misconfigured permissions and guardrails
  • Insecure or overly complex agent architectures
  • Infrastructure-as-Code introducing silent misconfigurations
  • Vulnerabilities in AI-generated code and dependencies

AI-generated code adds a new dimension of risk, as hallucinated packages or insecure logic may be harder to detect and debug than human-written code. Securing AI development means applying security controls early, including static analysis, architectural review, and continuous configuration monitoring throughout the build process.

4. Securing the AI supply chain

AI supply chains are often opaque. Models, datasets, dependencies, and services may come from third parties with varying levels of transparency and assurance.

Key supply chain risks include:

  • Shadow AI tools used outside approved controls
  • External AI agents granted internal access
  • Suppliers applying AI to enterprise data without disclosure
  • Compromised models, training data, or dependencies

Securing the AI supply chain requires discovering where AI is used, validating the provenance and licensing of models and data, and assessing how suppliers process and protect enterprise information. Without this visibility, organizations risk data leakage, regulatory exposure, and downstream compromise through trusted integrations.

5. Strengthening readiness and oversight

Even with strong technical controls, AI security fails without governance, testing, and trained teams. AI introduces new incident scenarios that many security teams are not yet prepared to handle.

Oversight risks include:

  • Lack of meaningful AI risk reporting
  • Untested AI systems in production
  • Security teams untrained in AI-specific threats

Organizations need AI-aware reporting, red and purple team exercises that include AI systems, and ongoing training to build operational readiness. These capabilities ensure AI risks are understood, tested, and continuously improved, rather than discovered during a live incident.

Reframing AI security for the boardroom

AI security is not just a technical issue. It is a trust, accountability, and resilience issue. Boards want assurance that AI-driven decisions are reliable, explainable, and protected from tampering.

Effective communication with leadership focuses on:

  • Trust: confidence in data integrity, model behavior, and outputs
  • Accountability: clear ownership across teams and suppliers
  • Resilience: the ability to operate, audit, and adapt under attack or regulation

Mapping AI security efforts to recognized frameworks such as ISO/IEC 42001 and the NIST AI Risk Management Framework helps demonstrate maturity and aligns AI security with broader governance objectives.

Conclusion: Securing AI is a lifecycle challenge

The same characteristics that make AI transformative also make it difficult to secure. AI systems blur traditional boundaries between software, users, and decision-making, expanding the attack surface in subtle but significant ways.

Securing AI requires restoring clarity. Knowing where AI exists, how it behaves, who controls it, and how it is governed. A framework-based approach allows organizations to innovate with AI while maintaining trust, accountability, and control.

The journey to secure AI is ongoing, but it begins with understanding the risks across the full AI lifecycle and building security practices that evolve alongside the technology.

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About the author
Brittany Woodsmall
Product Marketing Manager, AI & Attack Surface

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December 22, 2025

The Year Ahead: AI Cybersecurity Trends to Watch in 2026

2026 cyber threat trendsDefault blog imageDefault blog image

Introduction: 2026 cyber trends

Each year, we ask some of our experts to step back from the day-to-day pace of incidents, vulnerabilities, and headlines to reflect on the forces reshaping the threat landscape. The goal is simple:  to identify and share the trends we believe will matter most in the year ahead, based on the real-world challenges our customers are facing, the technology and issues our R&D teams are exploring, and our observations of how both attackers and defenders are adapting.  

In 2025, we saw generative AI and early agentic systems moving from limited pilots into more widespread adoption across enterprises. Generative AI tools became embedded in SaaS products and enterprise workflows we rely on every day, AI agents gained more access to data and systems, and we saw glimpses of how threat actors can manipulate commercial AI models for attacks. At the same time, expanding cloud and SaaS ecosystems and the increasing use of automation continued to stretch traditional security assumptions.

Looking ahead to 2026, we’re already seeing the security of AI models, agents, and the identities that power them becoming a key point of tension – and opportunity -- for both attackers and defenders. Long-standing challenges and risks such as identity, trust, data integrity, and human decision-making will not disappear, but AI and automation will increase the speed and scale of the cyber risk.  

Here's what a few of our experts believe are the trends that will shape this next phase of cybersecurity, and the realities organizations should prepare for.  

Agentic AI is the next big insider risk

In 2026, organizations may experience their first large-scale security incidents driven by agentic AI behaving in unintended ways—not necessarily due to malicious intent, but because of how easily agents can be influenced. AI agents are designed to be helpful, lack judgment, and operate without understanding context or consequence. This makes them highly efficient—and highly pliable. Unlike human insiders, agentic systems do not need to be socially engineered, coerced, or bribed. They only need to be prompted creatively, misinterpret legitimate prompts, or be vulnerable to indirect prompt injection. Without strong controls around access, scope, and behavior, agents may over-share data, misroute communications, or take actions that introduce real business risk. Securing AI adoption will increasingly depend on treating agents as first-class identities—monitored, constrained, and evaluated based on behavior, not intent.

-- Nicole Carignan, SVP of Security & AI Strategy

Prompt Injection moves from theory to front-page breach

We’ll see the first major story of an indirect prompt injection attack against companies adopting AI either through an accessible chatbot or an agentic system ingesting a hidden prompt. In practice, this may result in unauthorized data exposure or unintended malicious behavior by AI systems, such as over-sharing information, misrouting communications, or acting outside their intended scope. Recent attention on this risk—particularly in the context of AI-powered browsers and additional safety layers being introduced to guide agent behavior—highlights a growing industry awareness of the challenge.  

-- Collin Chapleau, Senior Director of Security & AI Strategy

Humans are even more outpaced, but not broken

When it comes to cyber, people aren’t failing; the system is moving faster than they can. Attackers exploit the gap between human judgment and machine-speed operations. The rise of deepfakes and emotion-driven scams that we’ve seen in the last few years reduce our ability to spot the familiar human cues we’ve been taught to look out for. Fraud now spans social platforms, encrypted chat, and instant payments in minutes. Expecting humans to be the last line of defense is unrealistic.

Defense must assume human fallibility and design accordingly. Automated provenance checks, cryptographic signatures, and dual-channel verification should precede human judgment. Training still matters, but it cannot close the gap alone. In the year ahead, we need to see more of a focus on partnership: systems that absorb risk so humans make decisions in context, not under pressure.

-- Margaret Cunningham, VP of Security & AI Strategy

AI removes the attacker bottleneck—smaller organizations feel the impact

One factor that is currently preventing more companies from breaches is a bottleneck on the attacker side: there’s not enough human hacker capital. The number of human hands on a keyboard is a rate-determining factor in the threat landscape. Further advancements of AI and automation will continue to open that bottleneck. We are already seeing that. The ostrich approach of hoping that one’s own company is too obscure to be noticed by attackers will no longer work as attacker capacity increases.  

-- Max Heinemeyer, Global Field CISO

SaaS platforms become the preferred supply chain target

Attackers have learned a simple lesson: compromising SaaS platforms can have big payouts. As a result, we’ll see more targeting of commercial off-the-shelf SaaS providers, which are often highly trusted and deeply integrated into business environments. Some of these attacks may involve software with unfamiliar brand names, but their downstream impact will be significant. In 2026, expect more breaches where attackers leverage valid credentials, APIs, or misconfigurations to bypass traditional defenses entirely.

-- Nathaniel Jones, VP of Security & AI Strategy

Increased commercialization of generative AI and AI assistants in cyber attacks

One trend we’re watching closely for 2026 is the commercialization of AI-assisted cybercrime. For example, cybercrime prompt playbooks sold on the dark web—essentially copy-and-paste frameworks that show attackers how to misuse or jailbreak AI models. It’s an evolution of what we saw in 2025, where AI lowered the barrier to entry. In 2026, those techniques become productized, scalable, and much easier to reuse.  

-- Toby Lewis, Global Head of Threat Analysis

Conclusion

Taken together, these trends underscore that the core challenges of cybersecurity are not changing dramatically -- identity, trust, data, and human decision-making still sit at the core of most incidents. What is changing quickly is the environment in which these challenges play out. AI and automation are accelerating everything: how quickly attackers can scale, how widely risk is distributed, and how easily unintended behavior can create real impact. And as technology like cloud services and SaaS platforms become even more deeply integrated into businesses, the potential attack surface continues to expand.  

Predictions are not guarantees. But the patterns emerging today suggest that 2026 will be a year where securing AI becomes inseparable from securing the business itself. The organizations that prepare now—by understanding how AI is used, how it behaves, and how it can be misused—will be best positioned to adopt these technologies with confidence in the year ahead.

Learn more about how to secure AI adoption in the enterprise without compromise by registering to join our live launch webinar on February 3, 2026.  

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