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February 13, 2024

Predicting the Future of Cyber Security and Cyber Threats

Read about cyber security predictions and cyber threats in 2024. Staying up-to-date on cyber attacks and cyber security is vital to all organizations.
Inside the SOC
Darktrace cyber analysts are world-class experts in threat intelligence, threat hunting and incident response, and provide 24/7 SOC support to thousands of Darktrace customers around the globe. Inside the SOC is exclusively authored by these experts, providing analysis of cyber incidents and threat trends, based on real-world experience in the field.
Written by
The Darktrace Threat Research Team
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13
Feb 2024

2024 Cyber Threat Predictions

After analyzing the observed threats and trends that have affected customers across the Darktrace fleet in the second half of 2023, the Darktrace Threat Research team have made a series of predictions. These assessments highlight the threats that are expected to impact Darktrace customers and the wider threat landscape in 2024.  

1. Initial access broker malware, especially loader malware, is likely to be a prominent threat.  

Initial access malware such as loaders, information stealers, remote access trojans (RATs), and downloaders, will probably remain some of the most relevant threats to most organizations, especially when noted in the context that many are interoperable, tailorable Malware-as-a-Service (MaaS) tools.  

These types of malware often serve as a gateway for threat actors to compromise a target network before launching subsequent, and often more severe, attacks. Would-be cyber criminals are now able to purchase and deploy these malware without the need for technical expertise.  

2. Infrastructure complexity will increase SaaS attacks and leave cloud environments vulnerable.

The increasing reliance on SaaS solutions and platforms for business operations, coupled with larger attack surfaces than ever before, make it likely that attackers will continue targeting organizations’ cloud environments with account takeovers granting unauthorized access to privileged accounts. These account hijacks can be further exploited to perform a variety of nefarious activities, such as data exfiltration or launching phishing campaigns.  

It is paramount for organizations to not only fortify their SaaS environments with security strategies including multifactor authentication (MFA), regular monitoring of credential usage, and strict access control, but moreover augment SaaS security using anomaly detection.  

3. The prevalence and evolution of ransomware will surge.

The Darktrace Threat Research team anticipates a surge in Ransomware-as-a-Service (RaaS) attacks, marking a shift away from conventional ransomware. The uptick in RaaS observed in 2023 evidences that ransomware itself is becoming increasingly accessible, lowering the barrier to entry for threat actors. This surge also demonstrates how lucrative RaaS is for ransomware operators in the current threat landscape, further reinforcing a rise in RaaS.  

This development is likely to coincide with a pivot away from traditional encryption-centric ransomware tactics towards more sophisticated and advanced extortion methods. Rather than relying solely on encrypting a target’s data for ransom, malicious actors are expected to employ double or even triple extortion strategies, encrypting sensitive data but also threatening to leak or sell stolen data unless their ransom demands are met.  

4. Threat actors will continue to rely on living-off-the-land techniques.

With evolving sophistication of security tools and greater industry adoption of AI techniques, threat actors have focused more and more on living-off-the-land. The extremely high volume of vulnerabilities discovered in 2023 highlights threat actors’ persistent need to compromise trusted organizational mechanisms and infrastructure to gain a foothold in networks. Although inbox intrusions remain prevalent, the exploitation of edge infrastructure has demonstrably expanded compared to previously endpoint-focused attacks.

Given the prevalence of endpoint evasion techniques and the high proportion of tactics utilizing native programs, threat actors will likely progressively live off the land, even utilizing new techniques or vulnerabilities to do so, rather than relying on unidentified malicious programs which evade traditional detection.

5. The “as-a-Service” marketplace will contribute to an increase in multi-phase compromises.

With the increasing “as-a-Service” marketplaces, it is likely that organizations will face more multi-phase compromises, where one strain of malware is observed stealing information and that data is sold to additional threat actors or utilized for second and/or third-stage malware or ransomware.  

This trend builds on the concept of initial access brokers but utilizes basic browser scraping and data harvesting to make as much profit throughout the compromise process as possible. This will likely result in security teams observing multiple malicious tools and strains of malware during incident response and/or multi-functional malware, with attack cycles and kill chains morphing into less linear and more abstract chains of activity. This makes it more essential than ever for security teams to apply an anomaly approach to stay ahead of asymmetric threats.  

6. Generative AI will let attackers phish across language barriers.

Classic phishing scams play a numbers game, targeting as many inboxes as possible and hoping that some users take the bait, even if there are spelling and grammar errors in the email. Now, Generative AI has reduced the barrier for entry, so malicious actors do not have to speak English to produce a convincing phishing email.  

In 2024, we anticipate this to extend to other languages and regions. For example, many countries in Asia have not yet been greatly impacted by phishing. Yet Generative AI continues to develop, with improved data input yielding improved output. More phishing emails will start to be generated in various languages with increasing sophistication.    

7. AI regulation and data privacy rules will stifle AI adoption.

AI regulation, like the European Union’s AI Act, is starting to be implemented around the world. As policies continue to come out about AI and data privacy, practical and pragmatic AI adoption becomes more complex.  

Businesses will likely have to take a second look at AI they are adopting into their tech stacks to consider what may happen if a tool is suddenly deprecated because it is no longer fit for purpose or loses the approvals in place. Many will also have to use completely different supply chain evaluations from their usual ones based on developing compliance registrars. This increased complication may make businesses reticent to adopt innovative AI solutions as legislation scrambles to keep up.  

Learn more about observed threat trends and future predictions in the 2023 End of Year Threat Report

Inside the SOC
Darktrace cyber analysts are world-class experts in threat intelligence, threat hunting and incident response, and provide 24/7 SOC support to thousands of Darktrace customers around the globe. Inside the SOC is exclusively authored by these experts, providing analysis of cyber incidents and threat trends, based on real-world experience in the field.
Written by
The Darktrace Threat Research Team

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June 9, 2026

Always On, Always Defending: Inside the AI-Driven SOC

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Today’s SOC: A system under pressure

The SOC has been described as the:

  • Control center for security systems management  
  • Operations center for log analysis and alert response
  • Command center for network monitoring and investigation

But the CISO at a manufacturer of industrial power solutions says today’s SOC is far more dynamic:

“The SOC is an active player in a never-ending chess match where the pieces are always moving, the rules are constantly changing, and we’re continuously adjusting our tactical and strategic approaches to keep up.”

This has created a balancing act for cybersecurity professionals:

  • Support expanding digital estates to fuel innovation…or risk limiting business growth
  • Stop advanced cyberattacks at scale…or risk severe financial and reputational impacts

But balancing these responsibilities is increasingly difficult. Attackers are operating at machine speed and scale using sophisticated, adaptive techniques that overwhelm teams and bypass legacy defenses. At the same time, more than half of cybersecurity teams are understaffed, and 65% have unfilled cybersecurity positions (ISACA).

“The SOC is hitting its breaking point,” admits the VP of IT at a U.S.-based risk management services provider.”

“That’s the hard reality,” affirms a Chief Digital and Technology Officer at a North American financial services organization. “SOC teams are drowning in alerts, wasting time researching the most benign incidents while missing critical threats.”

Traditional tools lack the context and autonomous reasoning needed to determine which ones are truly dangerous, requiring analysts to manually review and respond. But with thousands of alerts hitting SOCs daily, the task exceeds human capacity, with recent industry research revealing that 40% to 42% of security alerts now go uninvestigated.

“Our old governance models of throwing bodies at it, that’s not going to work,” says the Group CIO of a multinational holding company. “Attackers move at machine speed, and our defenses have to operate at the same pace. Using AI for cybersecurity is the only way to do that.”

Why AI is essential

AI is about speed, scale, and context.

SOC teams are still expected to find the proverbial “needle in a haystack”, but the haystack keeps growing. As digital infrastructures expand and threat actors use AI to rapidly scale attacks and exploit vulnerabilities, success isn’t about keeping up but changing the approach.

This is where AI comes in, enabling security teams to operate at machine speed and scale by:

  • Analyzing vast amounts of data and correlating signals across domains within seconds
  • Detecting possible threats in real time and taking immediate action to mitigate risk
  • Prioritizing threats by severity and uncovering contextual details for rapid triage

The power of AI isn’t theoretical; it is transforming how today’s businesses operate.

The Chief Digital and Technology Officer at a financial services firm says within a single month of using Darktrace, the solution tracked billions of network events, autonomously investigated tens of millions of those incidents, and added the equivalent of 1,000 analyst hours of investigation. It also found threats that bypassed traditional tools, autonomously responding to contain or disrupt the threat on over 30,000 emails, including 18,000 the firm’s native email filter missed.

When Darktrace says it “takes action on a threat,” it generally means its platform can move beyond just detecting suspicious activity and automatically respond to contain or disrupt the threat—such as isolating a device, slowing or blocking suspicious network traffic, disabling risky user activity, or triggering security workflows—depending on how the system is configured.

AI isn’t about displacing humans.

AI is a powerful tool for handling large-scale data analysis, pattern detection, and repetitive tasks, but it cannot replace human critical thinking. By removing mindless work that does not require judgment, AI frees analysts to focus on what humans do best: applying reasoning, context, and sound decision-making to complex threats.

“AI is a workforce maximizer,” says the Chief Digital and Technology Officer. “It augments our team by monitoring and detecting threats at a scale beyond human capacity while providing the critical context we need to make faster, more confident decisions.

Rather than replacing people, AI is changing how security professionals work. Analysts can reclaim time previously spent on tedious, manual triage to focus on higher priorities and proactive initiatives like advanced threat hunting, strategic risk management, and security enablement and training.

“Aside from risk mitigation, our biggest ROI is in efficiency,” says the Head of Security at global business services provider. “What used to take 90% of our investigation time is now handled automatically, so we can focus on the final 10%, which requires critical thinking."

For SOC teams under pressure, the impact can be transformative, with security leaders reporting significant real-world outcomes using Darktrace Self-Learning AITM, including:

  • Phishing emails reduced by 99%
  • 1 million+ emails autonomously analyzed each month, with no email-based incidents reported
  • Potential threats autonomously neutralized in under four seconds, on average  
  • 99% of investigations conducted autonomously, surfacing only the high-priority 1% of threats for analyst review

How AI optimizes the SOC

To protect the modern enterprise, you absolutely need the right tools,” says CTO at leading European fashion brand. “Without them you’re a victim. With them, you’re a defender. AI and the machine speed detect/response it enables makes it the most critical tool.”

Replacing chaos with clarity and control  

It’s important to note that different AI solutions address different needs. Companies should clearly understand their specific use case and select the solution that best aligns with their goals, requirements, and operational needs.  

When it comes to choosing cybersecurity in a machine-speed threat landscape, time is the most valuable resource. Organizations require AI that can move from insight to action by:

  • Learning an organization’s unique behavioral patterners
  • Correlating signals across domains to detect anomalous activity
  • Prioritizing events and autonomously responding at scale to the vast majority
  • Quarantining high-impact threats until the SOC can investigate
  • Arming analysts with deep, contextual information to accelerate investigations

“Darktrace AI gives us threat detections based on facts, not guesses,” says the Group CIO. “It moves the SOC beyond alert overload to confident, informed decision-making. When Darktrace flags something, we pay attention. False positives are very rare, so we act with speed and confidence without second-guessing.”

Replacing anxiety with confidence and peace of mind

Every missed alert can have real-world consequences.

The strain of maintaining constant vigilance at scale without holistic visibility and automation is taking its toll on security professionals: 66% report increased stress, and nearly half say it’s the reason they’re leaving the field (ISACA).

The CIO at a professional sports organization says that’s not surprising: “If you don’t know what’s going on, anything could be happening. Operating with that level of uncertainty and control is incredibly stressful.”

AI gives SOCs the power to be proactive by unifying telemetry across network, email, identity, and cloud environments to provide a complete picture and a stronger foundation for action. The benefits for analysts, both personally and professionally, are significant:

  • Achieve greater work-life balance: “Knowing that Darktrace has our backs 24/7 and will take immediate action to stop threats  means we can now work normal hours and take vacations without worrying,” says the Chief Digital and Technology Officer.
  • Feel in control with deeper insights: “It not only stops and quarantines threats but also provides the deep context we need to quickly investigate and respond,” explains the Head of Security.  
  • Gain confidence the business is protected 24/7: “We can sleep at night. With Darktrace I’m confident that even with a small team we can protect the business 24/7,” adds the former retail CIO.

The modern SOC: A system of balance

Elevated to a core pillar of business strategy, the modern SOC is now considered:

  • The nerve center of cyber risk and proactive defense
  • The AI-powered command center for operational resilience
  • The strategic hub for contextual decision-making at scale

The SOC has evolved from a reactive center responsible for managing systems into a proactive, frontline defender and strategic business enabler—integral to innovation and growth.

AI is the key to balancing these responsibilities.

“We can only grow as fast as we can secure the business,” says the Head of Security. “AI gives us the speed, scale, and confidence to do both.”

*Metrics are based on the customer’s interview, data and sourced from its monthly Cyber AI Insights reporting.

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June 3, 2026

Stopping Stealth Attacks with Precision: How Núclea Prevented a Breach Without Disruption

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Núclea is a Brazilian data and technology company that supports the country’s financial system by delivering digital services exclusively to banks and financial institutions. Operating in an environment where trust, availability, and data integrity are critical, the company faces a threat landscape that has evolved rapidly—particularly with the rise of AI-driven cyberattacks.

Brazil has experienced a wave of successful cyber incidents targeting financial institutions, many of them enabled by insiders or compromised credentials. The result was a noticeable shift in attacker strategy: instead of focusing on end customers, threat actors began targeting the institutions and platforms that underpin the financial ecosystem itself.

“Attacks became far more directed and contextual,” explains Guilherme, who leads incident response within Núclea’s security platform engineering team. “They weren’t noisy or obviously malicious—they were precise, patient, and designed to blend into normal operations.”

That precision was on full display in January 2026, when Núclea faced one of the most convincing phishing attacks the team had seen.

A real attack, built on trust and context

The attack began with a seemingly routine email.

It was sent from a real Brazilian government institution, using legitimate infrastructure and valid credentials that were later confirmed to have been compromised. Núclea had an established, ongoing relationship with this organization, and the email’s language, tone, and subject matter aligned perfectly with the type of communication the recipient team handled every day.

Attached to the email was a PDF document containing content that looked entirely legitimate.

The problem? A single URL embedded inside that PDF.

“The message itself was correct. The sender was real. The context was familiar. Even the document content made sense,” Guilherme explains. “There was just one small element that didn’t belong.”

That small detail was enough to initiate a full attack chain.

What the attackers were trying to do

If clicked, the URL would have downloaded a malicious payload designed to:

  • Collect information about the user and device
  • Identify where the system was located within the financial ecosystem
  • Install remote access tools to maintain control
  • Deploy an infostealer to extract sensitive data
  • Execute anti-forensic scripts to erase traces of the intrusion

In other words, it was a carefully engineered operation designed for persistence and stealth, not immediate disruption.

The attack also employed urgency—a classic social engineering technique. When the link didn’t open as expected, employees requested assistance from the security team, insisting the document was important and needed to be accessed quickly.

This is precisely the kind of scenario where traditional security tools struggle: almost everything about the interaction is legitimate.

Where Darktrace made the difference

Instead of blocking the entire message or relying on known indicators of compromise, Darktrace focused on behavioral context.

Darktrace recognized:

  • That the sending organization was normally trusted
  • That the communication pattern matched historical behavior
  • That the PDF content itself was not suspicious

But it also identified that the URL embedded within the document deviated from established behavioral patterns.

Rather than disrupting business operations, Darktrace took precise action: it rewrote the URL, preventing the malicious download while leaving the rest of the email untouched.

“When we analyzed it afterward, it became clear how dangerous the attack would have been,” says Guilherme. “But it never progressed—because Darktrace acted at exactly the right point.”

Subsequent forensic analysis confirmed the payload’s malicious intent. The attack never succeeded.

Precision over disruption

For Núclea, this incident reinforced a critical lesson: modern attacks don’t always look malicious—they hide within normal activity.

“What stands out to me is the precision,” Guilherme says. “Darktrace doesn’t rely on big, obvious signals. It’s effective in situations that fall outside the standard patterns we all know.”

Building resilience in a high trust ecosystem

For Núclea, cybersecurity is not just a defensive measure—it’s a business enabler.

Availability failures or successful breaches in the financial ecosystem can have immediate, large-scale consequences, from financial loss to reputational damage. Preventing those outcomes protects not just Núclea, but its partners and customers as well.

“Cyber resilience means keeping the business running—even under attack,” Guilherme explains. “And that requires people, processes, and technology working together.”

As AI continues to accelerate both attacks and defenses, the role of security is evolving. Precision, behavioral understanding, and intelligent automation are no longer optional—they’re essential.

“The easy days were yesterday,” Guilherme says. “The challenges ahead are bigger. We need to be prepared—internally and with partners that help us build resilience.”

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